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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.49+7.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+6.40vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+1.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.77+5.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.25-0.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.63vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.10-1.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.13+1.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.16+3.14vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.65-2.93vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.55-3.76vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.55vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.03-0.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-7.09vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.27-6.59vs Predicted
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17Harvard University0.10-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.51Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.95Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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13.14Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.67Harvard University0.030.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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13.45Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Phelan | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 15.9% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nick Budington | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Wiegand | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Lee | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 28.9% |
| Alex Abate | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.