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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+6.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+2.86vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+4.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.83+4.34vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44+5.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37+1.39vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-0.59vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.61vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.48-2.95vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.35-3.70vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.27-4.19vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-4.87vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-2.54vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-4.53vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-5.90vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.30-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Stanford University3.3016.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College2.346.3%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy2.577.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.858.3%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston2.384.9%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University1.834.3%1st Place
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12.67George Washington University1.441.8%1st Place
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9.39Brown University2.375.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.066.3%1st Place
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10.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.5%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University2.487.2%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.357.1%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University2.275.9%1st Place
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9.13Boston College2.025.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Miami1.932.8%1st Place
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11.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.792.8%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Rhode Island1.302.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Stephan Baker | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 19.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.9% |
| Landon Cormie | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.