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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+4.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+2.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.10+2.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+3.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.55+2.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.49+0.38vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.65-0.88vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+1.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-1.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.77-0.83vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.03+0.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-6.00vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.13-5.13vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.10-2.57vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.16-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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4.44Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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11.31Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.17Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.56Harvard University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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13.43Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.18Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 17.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nick Budington | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Maks Groom | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| William Wiegand | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 26.6% |
| Alex Abate | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 24.3% |
| Richard Kalich | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.