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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+3.30vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+3.15vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.71+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.53vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+1.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-0.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.99vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.15Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.38Columbia University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.48SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Leopold Brandl | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 26.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 20.5% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 17.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Will Murray | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.