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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.48vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+4.42vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.71+3.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.14vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-1.09vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.03-2.33vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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6.42Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.38Columbia University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.91Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.29Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 20.8% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 23.8% |
| Leopold Brandl | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 26.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 18.6% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Bridget Green | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% |
| Will Murray | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.