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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+3.25vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.66vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.78+3.23vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.93vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.02vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.71-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.66SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.93Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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6.28Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 17.6% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 22.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% |
| Will Murray | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 15.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Leopold Brandl | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 25.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.