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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+3.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+4.02vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+2.03vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.57vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.04vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-3.62vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.71-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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5.03Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.43SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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6.31Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 7.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 20.3% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 22.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Leopold Brandl | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.