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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+3.36vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.01vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.53vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-1.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-1.14vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.71-1.72vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.78-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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4.44Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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3.38SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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4.96Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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6.28Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Green | 10.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 17.3% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 21.7% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| Leopold Brandl | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 25.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.