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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.50vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.09+4.57vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.78+1.08vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03-1.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-1.54vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35-3.86vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-1.53-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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5.08Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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4.14Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.73Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 18.5% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| John Vail | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 40.8% | 6.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 21.4% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 0.5% |
| Will Murray | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Green | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 2.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.