← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.56vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.78+2.27vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.69-0.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.40vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.09+0.34vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-1.50vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University2.35-3.87vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University-1.53-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
-
3.42University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
-
5.27Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
-
3.42Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
-
4.6University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.34SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
-
5.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.13Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.74Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 19.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 17.3% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Green | 19.9% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 1.1% |
| John Vail | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 37.3% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Green | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 2.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.