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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.13vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.19+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.47vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.39vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.09+0.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.82vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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5.14SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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2.53University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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5.59Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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3.81Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 40.6% | 26.3% | 18.9% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 26.8% | 24.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 24.8% | 30.6% | 23.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.6% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 24.3% | 39.4% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 24.0% | 27.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.