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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.52vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+0.10vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.60vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.19+1.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00-0.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.85vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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2.1Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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4.01Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.41Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 29.8% | 26.2% | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 40.2% | 29.6% | 17.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.2% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 24.6% | 26.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 13.9% | 6.3% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 24.3% | 26.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 23.7% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.