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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.46vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.62vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.19+1.23vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00-0.99vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09-0.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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2.46University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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3.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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5.23SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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4.01Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.56Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 41.3% | 27.1% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 29.1% | 27.6% | 22.3% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.8% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 27.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.1% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 6.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 38.7% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 26.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.