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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.55vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+0.10vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.60vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.000.00vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.19+0.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.86vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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2.1Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.0Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.19SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.43Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 28.6% | 27.2% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 40.0% | 29.6% | 18.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.0% | 15.1% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.7% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 14.8% | 6.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 26.4% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 23.4% | 26.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 23.8% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.