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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+3.15vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.00+1.00vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.43vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.19-0.83vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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4.0Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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5.17SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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5.41Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 41.7% | 27.7% | 16.5% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 24.2% | 26.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 6.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.4% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 25.2% | 30.2% | 21.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 26.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 24.0% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.