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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.46vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.61vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.000.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.19-0.83vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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2.46University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.0Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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5.17SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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5.44Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 40.4% | 28.4% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 28.8% | 28.2% | 22.1% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.6% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 6.5% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 24.9% | 26.1% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 23.6% | 26.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 24.4% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.