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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.46vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+1.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00-1.00vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.19-0.82vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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2.46University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.0%1st Place
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4.0Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.18SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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5.42Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 41.6% | 26.9% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 29.2% | 27.6% | 22.3% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.7% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 2.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 26.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.1% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 21.2% | 13.9% | 6.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 24.9% | 26.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 23.7% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.