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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+2.16vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+0.01vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.36vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.19-0.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Cornell University2.430.4%1st Place
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2.48University of Pennsylvania2.060.3%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.01Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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5.16SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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5.44Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 40.8% | 27.1% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 28.4% | 28.1% | 22.4% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 25.0% | 26.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 6.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.1% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 26.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.