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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+2.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+1.82vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+4.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.08+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.15+0.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.64-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.94vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-6.39vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.74-0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.17vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.93-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Roger Williams University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.82Roger Williams University2.300.2%1st Place
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7.68Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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5.2Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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3.61Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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10.15Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.91Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 17.8% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 17.0% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 26.5% | 12.8% | 2.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 21.1% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Knowlton | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 29.3% | 20.2% | 7.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 31.0% | 43.8% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 11.4% | 31.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.