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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.08+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64+1.29vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62+2.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.07vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.15-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86+2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.54vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.93+0.83vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.40-8.33vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Roger Williams University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.53Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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10.13Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.83Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.67Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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3.89Roger Williams University2.300.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 18.7% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Knowlton | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 29.7% | 21.4% | 8.2% |
| Olin Guck | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.3% | 29.3% | 45.6% |
| Kate Myler | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 22.8% | 25.2% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 32.2% | 41.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 18.8% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.