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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+2.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+1.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.79vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+3.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.64+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.15+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.08-0.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.03vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-5.34vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.93+1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86+0.74vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.46vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-0.74-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Roger Williams University2.300.2%1st Place
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3.63Roger Williams University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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7.66Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.14Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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3.66Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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11.85Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.35Amherst College-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 17.7% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 19.3% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Adam | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 19.4% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 27.4% | 48.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 34.1% | 37.3% |
| Kate Myler | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 22.7% | 25.1% | 12.8% | 4.7% |
| James Knowlton | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 30.1% | 21.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.