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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+3.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.62+3.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+1.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.15+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.81+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10-1.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64+0.32vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.09+0.86vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31-3.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.84vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.11vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.12-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.31Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.02Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Rhode Island2.100.2%1st Place
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7.32Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.86Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.94Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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11.84Middlebury College-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Chigas | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 17.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 15.9% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 27.9% | 20.6% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 13.4% | 35.9% | 25.6% | 9.5% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 11.1% | 27.1% | 53.1% |
| Maya Henning | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 38.3% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.