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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.88+0.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-0.75vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.23vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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2.72Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.86University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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4.77Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.4Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.0% | 23.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.2% | 24.0% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 8.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 9.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 12.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 21.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.