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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55-0.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+0.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.20vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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2.76Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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5.41Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 10.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 24.2% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.8% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 23.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 11.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 19.3% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.