← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.96vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.01vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.55-0.24vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.28+0.82vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-0.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.19vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
-
4.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
2.76Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
-
4.82Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.81University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
5.39Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.3% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.2% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 23.6% |
| Leah Rickard | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 12.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.