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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.13vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-2.18vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.23vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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2.82Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.77Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.42Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 10.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.4% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 11.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.5% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 8.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.0% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 22.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.