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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+3.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.00vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.92vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.22vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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3.0U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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2.74Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.86University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.78Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.44Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 12.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.8% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 26.9% | 25.4% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 22.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.