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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.10vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-2.21vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-1.20vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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2.97U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.8Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.42Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.1% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.3% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 28.1% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 23.5% | 22.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.