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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.96vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+0.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+1.20vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.93vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.3%1st Place
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2.71Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.51Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 25.4% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.3% | 25.4% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 11.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 23.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 43.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.