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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.88+2.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+1.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55-1.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-0.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.92vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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2.94U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
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4.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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2.8Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.83Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.41Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 23.2% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 10.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 12.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.4% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 22.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.