← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.55+1.75vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.95vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.88+0.84vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.06vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.28-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.79-0.48vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.75Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
-
2.95U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
3.84University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.82Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.52Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
4.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 29.6% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 22.1% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 23.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 43.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.