Race 1A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ryan Hamilton 8.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.9% 11.9% 14.7% 13.3% 13.7% 11.7%
Declan Botwinick 20.2% 20.2% 17.9% 15.2% 11.6% 7.3% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Kevin Carse 3.9% 4.7% 6.6% 6.7% 7.8% 10.1% 12.1% 19.0% 29.1%
Nils Tullberg 13.6% 15.8% 15.6% 15.1% 13.1% 9.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.2%
Shea Smith 20.5% 16.9% 14.8% 12.3% 12.4% 8.2% 8.1% 4.5% 2.3%
Henri Richardsson 5.4% 6.6% 6.7% 7.8% 8.6% 13.0% 14.7% 18.9% 18.3%
Hal Clews 6.3% 4.8% 7.1% 7.9% 10.1% 12.4% 15.4% 15.2% 20.8%
Tyler Egeli 8.1% 7.4% 9.3% 12.0% 11.9% 12.1% 14.2% 14.4% 10.6%
Sam Monaghan 14.0% 15.1% 12.7% 14.1% 12.6% 13.1% 9.8% 5.5% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.