Race 2A

pen-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Shea Smith 17.4% 16.5% 14.5% 14.6% 13.7% 10.1% 7.6% 4.0% 1.6%
Kevin Carse 3.3% 3.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 11.5% 13.3% 19.9% 29.5%
Hal Clews 5.1% 5.9% 7.3% 9.5% 9.5% 10.5% 15.7% 17.2% 19.3%
Declan Botwinick 23.5% 23.0% 17.3% 13.2% 9.4% 6.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8%
Ryan Hamilton 7.8% 10.0% 11.6% 9.9% 10.3% 12.1% 11.9% 14.4% 12.0%
Tyler Egeli 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 9.8% 11.9% 14.7% 15.2% 13.2% 9.5%
Sam Monaghan 12.6% 13.5% 14.8% 12.9% 16.6% 11.2% 8.8% 6.6% 3.0%
Henri Richardsson 6.5% 5.0% 6.6% 8.4% 9.2% 11.5% 14.0% 17.5% 21.3%
Nils Tullberg 15.3% 14.8% 13.2% 14.9% 12.5% 12.3% 8.6% 5.4% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.