Race 3A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nils Tullberg 14.7% 13.8% 15.0% 14.3% 13.0% 12.1% 7.9% 6.7% 2.5%
Sam Monaghan 10.2% 14.5% 15.2% 13.1% 13.3% 13.2% 9.7% 7.5% 3.3%
Kevin Carse 4.0% 4.4% 6.7% 5.8% 8.5% 9.8% 13.8% 17.1% 29.9%
Henri Richardsson 5.0% 6.2% 8.5% 8.0% 9.5% 12.8% 13.6% 16.3% 20.1%
Shea Smith 19.1% 18.5% 13.8% 13.5% 11.1% 9.0% 7.9% 3.9% 3.2%
Declan Botwinick 24.3% 22.3% 16.3% 13.8% 10.7% 6.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8%
Ryan Hamilton 7.8% 7.4% 9.0% 10.8% 12.0% 13.8% 13.9% 14.7% 10.6%
Tyler Egeli 8.2% 7.8% 8.5% 11.0% 12.8% 12.2% 14.0% 14.6% 10.9%
Hal Clews 6.7% 5.1% 7.0% 9.7% 9.1% 11.0% 15.5% 17.2% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.