Race 4A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Egeli 7.9% 8.0% 10.8% 9.0% 12.4% 11.5% 14.7% 14.6% 11.1%
Nils Tullberg 10.5% 13.8% 16.9% 13.5% 13.8% 12.9% 9.7% 5.6% 3.3%
Sam Monaghan 13.3% 13.0% 14.5% 13.6% 14.5% 11.2% 9.3% 7.9% 2.7%
Ryan Hamilton 7.5% 8.7% 10.2% 10.7% 12.6% 14.2% 13.1% 11.0% 12.0%
Shea Smith 18.5% 19.2% 15.1% 12.1% 11.4% 9.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.3%
Declan Botwinick 24.3% 21.4% 16.8% 14.1% 10.0% 6.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Kevin Carse 5.0% 3.9% 3.9% 8.3% 7.0% 10.8% 12.3% 19.8% 29.0%
Hal Clews 6.5% 6.8% 5.2% 10.3% 9.1% 12.1% 14.6% 16.1% 19.3%
Henri Richardsson 6.5% 5.2% 6.6% 8.4% 9.2% 11.3% 14.6% 18.7% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.