Race 5A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Monaghan 13.8% 13.2% 13.1% 16.1% 13.8% 10.5% 9.7% 7.0% 2.8%
Tyler Egeli 5.2% 7.0% 10.4% 8.9% 13.8% 14.4% 13.3% 13.9% 13.1%
Ryan Hamilton 7.2% 7.7% 9.9% 9.9% 11.3% 13.5% 14.7% 15.6% 10.2%
Shea Smith 16.0% 19.0% 18.6% 12.3% 12.1% 10.1% 6.3% 4.1% 1.5%
Declan Botwinick 26.4% 23.0% 14.4% 12.1% 9.7% 6.2% 5.1% 2.1% 1.0%
Nils Tullberg 14.5% 15.1% 15.9% 15.8% 10.8% 11.6% 8.1% 5.1% 3.1%
Hal Clews 5.6% 5.5% 6.1% 9.1% 10.3% 12.9% 15.2% 17.9% 17.4%
Henri Richardsson 6.4% 4.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.4% 11.9% 14.4% 16.0% 22.1%
Kevin Carse 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 13.2% 18.3% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.