← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.46vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.82+4.22vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.90+0.86vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.74+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.24-1.88vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.68-1.80vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.80vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.11-2.62vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy0.55-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
-
6.22McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
-
3.86Tufts University1.900.2%1st Place
-
4.04Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.12University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
-
4.2Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
6.2Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
-
5.38University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
-
6.51Maine Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.0% |
| Hal Clews | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
| Shea Smith | 15.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 13.9% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 26.6% | 22.2% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
| Kevin Carse | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.