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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+3.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90+2.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.50vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.82+1.95vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.55+1.39vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.68-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24-3.81vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.11-2.56vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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5.95McGill University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.39Maine Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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4.2Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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6.15Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Shea Smith | 14.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 11.7% |
| Hal Clews | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 19.4% |
| Kevin Carse | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 27.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 15.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 23.6% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.