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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.11+3.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+1.29vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+0.04vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24-3.81vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.82-1.97vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.55-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.900.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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4.29Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.04Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.01Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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6.03McGill University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.54Maine Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 16.6% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 15.1% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 24.0% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hal Clews | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 20.3% |
| Kevin Carse | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.