Race 1A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Calvin Schmid 49.1% 26.8% 12.5% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Stewart 8.7% 10.2% 14.7% 15.9% 16.6% 13.8% 11.6% 6.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Jasper Waldman 12.3% 15.4% 15.9% 18.3% 15.4% 11.7% 7.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Iain Shand 9.9% 16.9% 19.1% 17.1% 14.3% 10.9% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Julia Priebke 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.9% 7.3% 11.2% 19.7% 32.1% 13.7%
Ethan Deutsch 2.3% 3.1% 3.3% 4.3% 5.4% 9.4% 14.0% 22.8% 24.8% 10.6%
Ryan Magill 4.3% 6.0% 9.9% 9.9% 14.6% 17.5% 18.8% 12.0% 5.9% 1.1%
Henry Jensen 2.5% 3.4% 4.6% 7.7% 8.6% 12.0% 17.4% 21.2% 18.6% 4.0%
Jonathan Kelly 8.8% 15.1% 16.2% 15.3% 16.0% 14.1% 8.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Vaughan Hood 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 2.4% 3.0% 7.0% 13.8% 70.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.