Race 2A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Calvin Schmid 48.1% 28.3% 13.4% 4.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 11.7% 16.6% 17.7% 17.2% 15.0% 11.1% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Ethan Deutsch 2.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.9% 5.7% 9.5% 11.9% 23.7% 28.3% 8.7%
Jonathan Kelly 8.4% 13.4% 17.0% 18.5% 16.2% 12.2% 8.7% 4.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Iain Shand 12.8% 15.9% 16.0% 18.5% 16.3% 10.8% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Ryan Magill 5.4% 6.5% 9.0% 10.9% 13.8% 18.5% 16.6% 11.5% 6.4% 1.4%
Julia Priebke 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 5.5% 6.9% 12.7% 22.6% 29.7% 14.8%
Vaughan Hood 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 7.1% 14.0% 69.6%
Michael Stewart 7.6% 11.6% 15.0% 15.4% 15.3% 14.9% 12.9% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Henry Jensen 2.5% 3.5% 5.2% 7.1% 6.8% 12.9% 19.9% 19.3% 17.7% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.