Race 1B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Everett Botwinick 74.1% 18.7% 6.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 9.8% 38.3% 25.5% 12.8% 7.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Ben Muchin 2.1% 4.1% 8.3% 10.5% 12.5% 12.8% 17.9% 16.1% 15.7%
Andrew Patterson 1.0% 2.6% 4.1% 8.7% 8.1% 10.3% 14.3% 17.7% 33.2%
Tamryn Whyte 2.0% 5.9% 11.0% 12.6% 12.6% 11.7% 15.0% 16.4% 12.8%
Gil Hankinson 1.7% 6.6% 8.6% 11.5% 13.2% 16.1% 17.1% 14.5% 10.7%
Meghan Sarlund 3.0% 9.1% 12.6% 16.1% 17.6% 16.0% 11.9% 9.1% 4.6%
Andrew Tran 2.1% 4.3% 8.9% 8.5% 12.0% 14.5% 13.1% 18.0% 18.6%
Henry Powell 4.2% 10.4% 14.7% 18.7% 15.9% 14.4% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.