Race 2B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Everett Botwinick 71.4% 21.6% 5.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Powell 2.6% 9.6% 13.3% 18.8% 17.6% 13.1% 12.6% 8.9% 3.5%
Ben Muchin 2.0% 3.9% 8.4% 10.8% 11.9% 15.4% 16.2% 16.1% 15.3%
Brendan Strein 13.7% 37.4% 24.7% 14.5% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Tamryn Whyte 2.1% 5.1% 11.8% 11.8% 14.2% 11.4% 14.1% 16.6% 12.9%
Meghan Sarlund 3.2% 9.4% 13.5% 16.0% 17.4% 17.0% 11.8% 6.7% 5.0%
Andrew Patterson 1.0% 2.8% 4.9% 5.0% 8.2% 10.4% 12.6% 18.8% 36.3%
Andrew Tran 2.0% 4.8% 8.2% 9.8% 9.9% 16.6% 15.8% 16.3% 16.6%
Gil Hankinson 2.0% 5.4% 9.5% 12.5% 14.2% 13.7% 15.9% 16.5% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.