Race 3B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Everett Botwinick 69.4% 21.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 14.0% 33.6% 23.2% 15.1% 7.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Sarlund 3.8% 7.4% 12.2% 13.2% 14.1% 14.8% 13.7% 9.1% 7.7% 4.0%
Henry Powell 2.5% 8.6% 15.7% 14.4% 16.2% 14.4% 9.8% 10.9% 4.6% 2.9%
Andrew Patterson 1.4% 3.1% 4.7% 5.4% 7.7% 6.7% 8.5% 12.2% 18.2% 32.1%
Andrew Tran 2.3% 5.3% 6.6% 8.2% 9.8% 10.5% 13.5% 12.8% 16.8% 14.2%
Patrick Hartshorne 1.7% 4.5% 7.8% 11.1% 11.8% 12.7% 14.5% 12.7% 13.4% 9.8%
Robert Chapman 1.7% 4.4% 7.9% 10.2% 10.4% 10.8% 12.5% 14.8% 14.2% 13.1%
Gil Hankinson 1.8% 5.7% 7.7% 11.0% 11.6% 11.7% 13.1% 14.2% 12.6% 10.6%
Tamryn Whyte 1.4% 5.5% 8.1% 9.3% 10.5% 13.9% 12.5% 13.0% 12.5% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.