← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College2.11+4.91vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+6.88vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.41+2.03vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.35vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+2.20vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.93+0.50vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.18-1.28vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.50-3.13vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.61vs Predicted
-
10Virginia Tech0.18+1.40vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.24-2.37vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University1.63-4.41vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary-0.06-0.94vs Predicted
-
14Virginia Tech0.18-2.60vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University0.48-4.33vs Predicted
-
16American University-2.12-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.91Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.03Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
-
7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.5Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
5.72Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
4.87Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.4Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.63U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
-
7.59Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.06William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
-
11.4Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.67Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
-
14.5American University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 21.4% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 25.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 35.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 25.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 82.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.