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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.93+5.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+2.99vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+2.65vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.63+3.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.30vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.48+4.70vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+0.42vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.50-3.15vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11-3.11vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71-2.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.24-2.42vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.69vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.06-0.99vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.18-2.64vs Predicted
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15American University-2.12-0.49vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.18-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.65Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.37Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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10.7Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.89Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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12.01William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.36Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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14.51American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.36Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 21.7% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 37.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 82.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.