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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.93+5.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+5.26vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.48+7.59vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11+1.95vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18+6.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.24+2.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.35vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.50-3.05vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71-1.93vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18-4.19vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.18+0.39vs Predicted
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12American University-2.12+2.51vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-3.71vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.41-8.72vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.63-7.66vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.06-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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10.59Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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5.95Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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11.39Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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4.95Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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5.81Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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11.39Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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14.51American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.34Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.86William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 27.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 21.8% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 27.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 83.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 33.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.