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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+4.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.50+2.73vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+2.85vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+1.73vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93+1.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.37vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.48+3.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.58vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.18+2.38vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.95vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71-3.81vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.18-0.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.24-4.22vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.63-6.42vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.06-3.09vs Predicted
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16American University-2.12-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.85Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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5.73Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.57Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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10.61Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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11.38Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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11.38Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
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7.58Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.91William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.54American University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Corbett | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.7% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 20.6% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 84.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.