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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.41+4.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+4.91vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+2.91vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.48+6.67vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.50-0.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.93+0.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.34vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.62vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.63-1.66vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.18+1.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.24-2.35vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.06+0.12vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-7.03vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.18-2.59vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-5.97vs Predicted
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16American University-2.12-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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5.91Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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10.67Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.48Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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7.34Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.41Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
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12.12William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.97Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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11.41Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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14.5American University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Corbett | 12.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 22.2% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 37.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 82.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.