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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.48+9.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.50+2.73vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+2.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.71+3.20vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.55vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18-0.09vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+1.74vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.18+3.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.24-1.37vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.93-4.40vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.18-0.79vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.63-5.52vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.06-2.26vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.41-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.94Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.710.1%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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5.91Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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11.21Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy1.240.0%1st Place
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6.6Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.21Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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7.48Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.74William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Can Dilikoglu | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 19.8% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Corbett | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.